The season turns: the sea flattens, the rain stops, rates climb week by week and the island fills from an empty start.
Dataset checked 2026-09-08: 39 entries covering septembre 2026 to décembre 2027, of which 17 carry an approximate date. Weather and crowd figures on this page are medians from our climate and tourism datasets.
Source: Open-Meteo (ERA5), 2015–2026; Ministry of Tourism and Sports, Thailand · Toutes les sources
Source-market holiday
6–10 novembre 2026 · approximate · Inde
Adds a demand wave to the first fortnight of the high season, on top of rates that are already rising. Direct flights from Delhi, Mumbai and Bengaluru sell out first; villas that sleep eight or more are the tightest inventory on the island that week.
Source-market holiday
20 novembre – 31 décembre 2027 · approximate · Malaisie
Steady short-stay demand through the ramp into the peak fortnight, concentrated on weekends. It is one of the reasons December rates rise before the European and Russian holiday traffic actually arrives.
Festival
24 novembre 2026 · approximate
A one-night event that fills beachfront restaurants and the Phuket Town parks; it does not move hotel rates. It falls inside the early high season, when the sea is already calm — the practical reason Phuket keeps it on the beach rather than on a river.
Sport
28 novembre – 6 décembre 2026 · approximate · Kata
Kata and Karon beachfront hotels run near capacity for the regatta week and the marinas at Ao Po and Boat Lagoon fill with visiting boats. Everywhere else on the island the effect is invisible; the rate pressure comes from the season, not the racing.
Source-market holiday
16 octobre – 1 novembre 2027 · approximate
The first real demand of the season, still at low-season prices in most of the island. Villas and hotels that publish a mid-October rate change are the exception; book before the switch and the same room costs meaningfully less than in the first week of November.
1 nov. 2026 – 31 mars 2027
The reason the price index has two levels: hotel and villa rates through these five months sit well above the May-to-October ones, and the Christmas fortnight sits above the rest of the dry season again. Book villas for December and January six to nine months ahead.
15 oct. 2026 – 15 mai 2027
The single hardest constraint on a Phuket itinerary: a trip planned between 16 May and 14 October cannot include the Similans at all. Inside the window, December to February sells out first and April is the quietest month with good sea.
Medians per calendar month over 2015–2025. Open-Meteo (ERA5), 2015–2026.
A median novembre carries 270 mm of rain over 27 days, of which 3 bring more than 20 mm. Daily highs sit around 28.7 °C and nights around 24.5 °C, with about 260 hours of sunshine in the month and humidity near 87%. The sea off the west coast is calme: a median novembre has 0 rough-sea days, and the surface water sits around 29.8 °C.
Mu Ko Similan National Park is open in novembre.
| Month | Median rain | Rain days | Daily high | Nightly low | Sunshine | Rough-sea days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| janvier | 37 | 10 | 29.5 | 24.4 | 329 | 0 |
| février | 21 | 7 | 30.7 | 24.7 | 312 | 0 |
| mars | 73 | 14 | 31.7 | 25.4 | 343 | 0 |
| avril | 183 | 25 | 30.7 | 25.7 | 311 | 0 |
| mai | 343 | 28 | 29.8 | 25.6 | 298 | 4 |
| juin | 275 | 22 | 29.3 | 25.9 | 284 | 8 |
| juillet | 241 | 24 | 29.2 | 25.8 | 279 | 13 |
| août | 270 | 25 | 28.9 | 25.3 | 277 | 9 |
| septembre | 309 | 25 | 28.7 | 24.8 | 248 | 12 |
| octobre | 340 | 28 | 29.0 | 24.4 | 286 | 2 |
| novembre | 270 | 27 | 28.7 | 24.5 | 260 | 0 |
| décembre | 113 | 16 | 29.2 | 24.1 | 298 | 0 |
A median novembre brings 1,131,861 hotel guest arrivals in Phuket with occupancy around 78.6%, which makes it the 2nd busiest month of the twelve in the Ministry of Tourism and Sports series. Occupancy at this level is what pushes hotel and villa rate cards to their high-season level, and it is why the island’s best inventory is committed months ahead.
novembre sits inside the high season: rate cards are at their upper level and the best hotels and villas are committed months ahead.
| Segment | Médiane | n | Relevé |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hôtel 3★, médiane de l’île par nuit | $34 | 177 | septembre 2026 |
| Hôtel 4★, médiane de l’île par nuit | $62 | 210 | septembre 2026 |
| Hôtel 5★, médiane de l’île par nuit | $141 | 87 | septembre 2026 |
| Villa 3 chambres, médiane de l’île par mois | $3,975 | 125 | septembre 2026 |
Current island medians, observed septembre 2026, with the sample size behind each figure. The index has one observation month so far, so no per-month price history exists yet — it accrues from septembre 2026. Indice des prix →
Source: Ministry of Tourism and Sports, Thailand, 2023–2025 · Toutes les sources · 2026-09-05
November is the month everything changes. The north-east monsoon establishes itself, the west-coast swell disappears, the rain drops sharply from the October figure and the beaches that were red-flagged in September are swimmable again. Every island trip runs; the Similan boats are into their season.
It is also the month with the steepest price gradient of the year. The first week is often still on low-season or shoulder rates; by the last week the high-season card is fully in force and December is being sold. Long-stay villas are chosen in early November for exactly this reason — arrive then and you get the best of the inventory before the winter residents commit it.
The events are front-loaded and back-loaded: Diwali brings the first Indian wave in the first fortnight, Loy Krathong floats out on the November full moon, and the King's Cup Regatta fills Kata at the very end of the month as the Andaman sailing season opens.
Travellers who book late: November prices move upward every week, and the good villas go first.
Diwali (Inde) (6–10 novembre 2026); Malaysian year-end school holidays (20 novembre – 31 décembre 2027); Loy Krathong (24 novembre 2026); Phuket King's Cup Regatta (28 novembre – 6 décembre 2026). And 1 more entries on the calendar page.
A median novembre has 270 mm of rain over 27 days, daily highs around 28.7 °C and nights around 24.5 °C, from eleven years of reanalysis data. Mu Ko Similan National Park is open in novembre.
Yes. A median novembre has 0 rough-sea days on the west coast, so Patong, Kata, Karon, Kamala and Surin are normally swimmable and the sea sits around 29.8 °C. Red flags still go up on individual days — they mean what they say.
novembre sits inside the high season: rate cards are at their upper level and the best hotels and villas are committed months ahead.